From pentaj2 at scranton.edu Tue Jan 1 18:49:05 2008 From: pentaj2 at scranton.edu (pentaj2 at scranton.edu) Date: Tue, 01 Jan 2008 18:49:05 -0500 Subject: [War] US/Canada: String Test In-Reply-To: <6b6ab8a70801011441s6c3391dfxb1bdef493c5cec6e@mail.gmail.com> References: <6b6ab8a70711301715t28ad85a3kcc2da1a14c3f0fe1@mail.gmail.com> <6b6ab8a70712061812i7c682126q9b314a58cb23b02c@mail.gmail.com> <6b6ab8a70712251809o33f70d2ek1ea593d2bb746c5@mail.gmail.com> <6b6ab8a70712261220y720bc7e8u406863729ed847b3@mail.gmail.com> <6b6ab8a70712301210x4b556306l806aff3a3b32ac4f@mail.gmail.com> <6b6ab8a70801011441s6c3391dfxb1bdef493c5cec6e@mail.gmail.com> Message-ID: "String test" Pres. John Williams United States PM R. Leon MacIntyre Canada April 4, 2013 =========================== Coffee or other fuels in hand, the usual suspects trooped into the secure conference room of the White House Situation Room. Ominously, doors outside could be heard to close and lock. For the next 72 hours, the leaders and top officials of both the United States and Canada would be directly participating in a crisis management exercise entitled, cryptically, STRING TEST 1. The word had come down from POTUS, the "host" of the exercise (and a participant himself), to "pull no punches", so the workspaces involved were wired for small cameras and microphones to catch every word, action, facial expression, and gesture, for the use of the Exercise Control Team stationed not in Washington or Ottawa, but at West Point. There would be no relief; no pauses or intermissions in the exercise. Cots had been set up, the Sit Room had its own washrooms, and food would be brought down. Other innovations were being introduced: Upon an agreement with the editors involved not to publish until the final evaluations were released to participants in 6 months, real reporters were being brought in on the game, to play themselves. (Unfortunately for them, they were under the same lockdown, though they weren't necessarily in wired-up spaces. The EXDIR, a Colonel from West Point's wargaming labs, had been blunt: "If you're in character, you will by God be IN CHARACTER".) Everyone in senior leadership who could plausibly be brought in to the exercise was - military, civilian, and all of the cabinet members in both governments. The prep documents were already laid out for the participants at the White House, the Pentagon, and elsewhere, as with their Canadian counterparts: It was June 2013. Heavy rains, produced by a low pressure front that was stalled over the Eastern seaboard, had been pounding the Plains regions for weeks, and rivers throughout the area were nearing flood stage. At the same time, chatter from Al-Qaeda influenced groups had been rising to a fever pitch, though no actionable intel had been able to be drawn from that. On the other side of the front stalled over the East, the region from Nova Scotia down to DC, as far West as Philadelphia, was baking in a 100-degree heatwave that had begun 3 days previously, and were pushing electrical systems to their limits. As a quick headcount showed everybody stationed at the White House was here, a comm check with Bob Lawton (the Press Secretary) and Helen Thomas showed that the media participating from the Press briefing room were ready, and comms checks from CIA, the Pentagon, FBI, State, and elsewhere showed that the rest of the US side was ready, Williams pressed a button, hooking them all up to Exercise Control at West Point. "Control, the US side is ready to go," he stated. "Copy Americans, Control confirms the United States as ready for exercise start," an unidentified voice replied. --- Many kilometers away in Ottawa, things were shaping up much the same way. Construction had only recently begun on a Situation Room in the Central Block so MacIntyre and his staff currently occupied the center underneath the DND's headquarters, the NDHQ. The CF command was present, with audio and video links to the RCMP, CSIS and regional authorities in the exercise area. "This is Ottawa, we are ready on this end," the PM said over the speakerphone to Control. Unlike his American counterpart, MacIntyre was not a military man and had little experience in these types of affairs. General Newcastle, sitting to his right, had warned the PM that everyone took these things rather seriously but he still had trouble not perceiving the whole affairs as an expensive form of Command & Conquer. "Control acknowledges both sides ready. It is now 09:29:30. Exercise will start on the minute," spoke a voice from the phone. The next 30 seconds, in Washington, anyway, were spent pushing the Pre- exercise stuff off to a side. Then, a voice cut in, "Jim Moran, NWS, along with Thomas Farelli, MSC. Our agencies are announcing flooding conditions are now in existence for the entirety of the Des Plaines, Chicago, and Illinois Rivers, reaching a flood stage of 6 feet for the Des Plaines River, 4 feet for the Chicago River, and 5 feet for the Illinois River. Flood Warnings are now in effect for the entire Mississippi River and tributaries north of Dubuque, Iowa. Army Corps of Engineers reports that flood defenses are holding, but just barely." Further floods were noted for the US, up and down the Mississippi River watershed, of varying intensities. Essentially, every tributary of the Mississippi was either flooding, or near flood stage. The river, itself, wasn't flooding. At least, not yet. Most of Minnesota, Iowa, Illinois, Wisconsin, and northern Missouri was facing flooding. Fortunately, flooding was only on the horizon south of Dubuque - so far. "In Canada: The Pic River, White River, Pigeon River, Michipicoten River, Brule River, and Kaministiquia River are all within 12 hours of flooding. Ontario Hydro is considering whether to shut down the dams on those rivers to protect the generating equipment and the personnel." With that, Piper spoke up. "Minnesota, Iowa, Illinois, Wisconsin, and Missouri have called out the National Guard on state duty for flood defense." Secretary Nulty at DHS looked up at an aide handed him a sheaf of papers. He looked them over, then looked up. "Mr. President, all of the effected states want federal disaster declarations." "To be expected," Williams replied. "They're approved, instantly. If FEMA isn't moving right now, there's something so very, very wrong." Pulling over the sheaf that Nulty nudged in his direction, he signed and dated each declaration, after reviewing it to make sure everything looked right. Anne Hopkins, the FEMA director who had been plucked from service with Hawaii Civil Defense, spoke up over the phone. "We're moving regional assets, as of 30 minutes ago, to Chicago, St. Louis, Dubuque, and Minneapolis as hubs, under movement in anticipation of possible callup. These declarations being said callup, regional operations centers will move from watch status to full alert within 15 minutes. Secretary Abbot, what's the status of the Navy recruits at Great Lakes?" "Currently, they're continuing training as scheduled, but permanent party forces are preparing for possible training halts and assignment of all able-bodied personnel to flood defense work," Abbot replied. "Do you think you'll need the personnel?" "It never hurts to know where they are." "If you need them, I'll chop them to FEMA OPCON upon request. Posse Comitatus restrictions will, of course, remain in effect." --- Emergency management in Canada fell under the jurisdiction of the Ministry of Public Safety and Emergency Preparedness, whose Minister, Eric Lancaster, would be the primary mover and shaker for the exercise. "Sir, we need to begin mobilizing the military to assist in control and evacuation of the affected areas at once," Lancaster advised the PM as the initial reports began to flow in. "The RCMP doesn't have the manpower to handle this themselves, and the Ontario Emergency Management Offices and civil emergency services will be kneecapped if power has to be cut to our hydroelectric grid. The 2nd Mechanized Brigade can be deployed out of Petawawa along with the 2nd Field Medical Group to handle injuries." "Done," said MacIntyre. The relevant paperwork would be along in a few moments for him to sign. "I take it we're putting this under the control of the Central Area Command?" "The CF has the most manpower to handle a disaster of this scale," replied Lancaster. "The command and control apparatus is also capable of functioning independent of local support. The RCMP and OPP can't do that. This is the precise reason we have the Emergency Measures Act and has been the primary strategy of the MPS." MacIntyre nodded. Soldiers walking down the street was not something Canadians had seen since Black October forty years ago, not a particularly pleasant national memory, but this was an emergency during a large scale natural disaster. And the military forces would be deployed for disaster relief; only MP units would be armed, with most crowed control still being handled by the RCMP and Ontario Provincial Police through the local EMO. "Okay, fine." --- "Control announces: It is now 10:00:15, 4 June 2013. CF personnel will arrive in 12 hours, and be operational in 18. Methods of transport are road for heavy equipment and air for personnel." a voice said. "FEMA assets, moving by air, will arrive at Chicago, St. Louis, and Minneapolis in 12 hours, and be operational in 14. National Guard assets are fully deployed under state command in Minnesota, Iowa, Illinois, Wisconsin, and Missouri. Evacuations have been ordered by local authorities in most cities in the flood region; Evacuees are heading primarily to Chicago, Minneapolis, Cedar Rapids, Springfield Illinois, Des Moines, and Milwaukee. Roads are jammed full. All revenue flights into the evacuated areas have been canceled. Airline flights are being scheduled to end throughout the evacuation area within 12 hours, and flights are packed. Hydroelectric dams throughout the region are being taken offline in sequence as grid operators balance the load. Weather forecasts don't show the rain letting up over the next 72 hours." --- "The deployment is going well," commented Lancaster as he looked down at the large table LCD map. "The Ontario EMO is keeping the Army and local police well-coordinated. The shutdown of the hydroelectric grid will cause problems but nothing we can't handle." "I think that would defy the purpose of the exercise," commented MacIntyre. "Video games are interesting because they are hard. You know the Americans are planning something." "Quite true," nodded Lancaster. "This exercise is very important. It's the first major test of our joint disaster and defence response ability for the entire North American continent, mines Mexico. Us, the DHS, NDHQ and the Pentagon are going to spend the next two years pouring over the after-action analysis. So yes, there are going to be some curve balls thrown at us." "Fine then," nodded MacIntyre. "Have the RCMP put the ERT on standby." "If we activate a special tactical unit before there's a tactical situation it might be construed as cheating," cautioned Lancaster. This was supposed to be 'real.' "And when better for criminals, or perhaps terrorists, to try something than during a natural disaster with everyone preoccupied by the evacuation? What if gun runners decide now is the perfect time to smuggle guns across the Windsor-Detroit border, or the Hell's Angels decide to rob a bank or some other such thing? Isn't this the PRIME opportunity for violence and looting? And maybe even terrorism, but we won't mention that part. I mean Christ, we have an entire front line Army brigade deployed, why not be that much more cautious?" "I'll call the RCMP." An audio message came through from the RCMP watch officer handling communications. "Acknowledged; however, ERT is what the Americans might call a SWAT unit, not a riot control unit. The tactical troops for A and O divisions are, unfortunately, already engaged providing manpower to evacuation efforts." Meanwhile, in Washington, things were generally quieter. Indeed, it was sort of a waiting game for them - things were mobilized and moving, but no news was coming in. Hence why POTUS was reading, SECDEF was playing a Nintendo DS, the AG was nervously chewing nictoine gum and craving a cigarette, and so forth. "Control to all players: It is now 1500 EDT, 4 June 2013. Hydroelectric dams along previously-noted flooding rivers are now completely shut down. Demand is at 90% of current generating capacity, and generating companies warn that rolling blackouts may need to be imposed. "The Missouri River from Sioux City and Omaha is approaching flood stage, and is expected to reach it in 8 hours. The Missouri River from Omaha to St Joseph is expected to reach flood stage in 12 hours..." Onward Control went. Essentially, the Missouri River from Sioux City, Iowa until it met the Mississippi was going to be flooding, soon. In Canada, the situation sucked only slightly less. The Trans-Canada Highway route passed through flood zone - and was itself flooded. Three of the dams on the Michipicoten River were not merely shut down, but according to Ontario Hydro engineers working from photographs provided by CF air assets, were nearing breach. Additionally, people had started to die. 50 had died in Missouri when the bus they were evacuating in took a turn too fast for the conditions and skidded through a guardrail and over a cliff. Up to 20 had been reported swept away by floodwaters in the US, including 10 children. In Canada, more densely populated by rivers, at least 50 had died from the flooding - people misjudged whether their cars could make it through, or didn't evacuate when it was called for, or had simply been unlucky. The death toll there included 7 children. In Washington, this was listened to with a curious calm. They'd gotten lucky so far. "Okay, just on an off-chance, I'm going to ask the Governors to call up the Guard in the Lower 48 and Alaska on state duty - send them to the flood areas under mutual aid. Mr. Prime Minister, if you need any assistance, upon your authorization, I'm going to ask the Governors of the New England states, except for New York, to send their Guard units to Ontario to assist. They'll be chopped to Canadian Forces command," Williams spoke into the audio link. At that point, Piper finished writing on a piece of paper and handed it over to the Secretary of Homeland Security, who scribbled on it and then passed it to POTUS. POTUS glanced at it, then spoke up again. "That said, here are the initial taskings for the Guard upon callup by the Governors. "California, Oregon, Washington State, and Alaska will act as a strategic reserve. Arizona, New Mexico, Nevada will be sent to support Iowa and Kansas. Montana will backstop Minnesota. Illinois and Wisconsin will be supported by Michigan, Ohio, Kentucky, and Pennsylvania. Missouri will be supported by Florida, Alabama, Texas, Delaware, West Virginia. Canada will be supported by the New England States minus New York, which will stay back in case of threats to the power grid. All unallocated Guard forces in the Lower 48, including DC, will be under NORTHCOM C2 for support to any or all of the above. "Civil Reserve Air Fleet will be called up as necessary to evacuate passengers from any open airport in the flood zone, on either side of the border. "Additionally, all active component medical and engineer units stationed in CONUS will be alerted for possible deployment to the flood zone, on either side of the border. "Finally, leaving no stone unturned, the Pentagon has put in calls both to the Boy Scouts of America's national office in Texas and the Girl Scouts national office in New York. That should garner us some degree of help filling sandbags and performing logistics tasks in the rear." --- "The National Guard can mobilize and deploy faster than our own reserves can," commented General Newcastle. "Although I will suggest we put the call out to all engineering and medical units in BC and Alberta to start calling up their men and begin deploying to the area." "What if those dams break?" asked the PM. "The Army is evacuating areas that might be directly hit by damn breaches as fast as we can. All our aid station are being pulled back to higher ground," commented Lancaster. "At this point we're just going to have to hope the dams hold until we can move the people away from the danger zone." "There's no way we can physically keep the dams from breaching?" Newcastle shook her head. "It's too dangerous for any of our field engineering units to get close to them." With that, a crackle from Washington. Abbot's voice. "General, what are the hydrodynamic models showing if you just open the gates fully, let the water flow through? Better a controlled flood than an uncontrolled breach, I'd imagine." "Mr. Secretary there are still at least a hundred civilians unaccounted for in that area," replied Newcastle. "Our S&R teams need more time to locate them before we can open the flood gates." Lancaster leaned over and whispered into MacIntyre[s ear. "They're right. We should open the gates now and avoid structural damage to the dams. They will breach anyway, this will lessen the damage." "You heard General Newcastle, there are still people in the area." "This is the kind of hard choice we have to make in situations like this, sir," replied the Safety Minister. "We give the search teams another hour, but after that we have to open the gates." MacIntyre winced. It was only a game, right? Why did he feel like such a dick? "General, you have an hour to find and evacuate the unaccounted civilians. After that, pull your teams back and open the flood gates." --- Williams listened to the Canadian conversation over the phone link, making notes silently. One hour wouldn't be enough time to properly evacuate those in the area, he knew. "Julius, what's the Corps of Engineers reporting in terms of dam status on our end?" He asked calmly. "We don't have so many, so there's not the issue; flood control levees only, and those are stable. Checked with NRC, by the way: Nuclear reactors in the region are doing fine - the floods aren't going to effect the coolant systems unless they get a lot worse," Secretary Abbot replied. "Still...NRC," Williams directed, checking to make sure they were on the circuit, "Be conservative. Far better to see a preventative shutdown and some power issues than to see plant issues." "Understood, sir," NRC's watchstander replied. "Plant operators have been advised to react to events accordingly." --- "Control to all players: It is now 1515 EDT, 4 June 2013. Hydroelectric Dam Number Four on the Michipicoten River has failed. Elements of 2nd Canadian Mechanized Battle Group in the vicinity have drowned in the post-failure surge, totaling 90 personnel. 30 civilians were reported in the area." --- "Sir we are out of time," said Lancaster as the report on Dam Four came in. "Pull back our men and open the flood gates," said MacIntyre. If that was the way it had to be, then that was the way it had to be. --- Williams whispered something to himself, barely audible, before consulting the maps. Tapping the touch screen in front of him, he checked the maps at lightning speed, going deathly silent. "Tell the Corps to get everybody out of the flood zones, then open the damns on our side; Whether the river's reached flood stage in that area or not. Just let the water flow," he said then. "In areas where the river hasn't flooded, get messages out. If you're able-bodied and even halfway willing, report to designated areas to be put on flood defense duty - no matter who the hell you are. Fill sandbags, place sandbags, get the flood defenses up." "Yes sir," replied Abbot, who tapped the requisite orders to the Pentagon into his own console. "We're even asking the correctional systems for their low-security inmates, just to get manpower." "Good. How're we doing on refugees, FEMA?" "Good. We're browbeating hotels into giving up excess capacity where need be, we've got shelter points set up in stadiums, and people are going to friends and relatives where they can," Anne Hopkins noted. Nulty spoke up. "I'm pulling every Homeland Security agent in the area off their duties and onto flood defense work and relief ops. Fuck drug smugglers - we need the manpower on this." Lucas Maxwell, the FBI Director, was next, "I've got agents and civil service personnel in all the relevant field offices evacuating their families now - but easily 2/3 have asked to be allowed to stay and help relief efforts." "Good. Approved, in both cases. ALL Federal and state assets in the area tasked by their agencies to assist are under FEMA OPCON, period. Governors don't like that, they may take it up with -me-, on national TV, once we're done. In that area, there -are- no agencies, just one mass of people working to hold back the rivers," Williams stated simply. Nods of acknowledgement from around the table. And now they waited. Waiting was the hardest part of any crisis, Williams had found. Sitting there, focused on a situation, unable to productively -do- anything...It ate at you. --- He had been indecisive and people had died. MacIntyre quickly realized that. Though of course no one had said anything, he picked up the looks exchanged between the CF and Safety Department staff in the situation room. It was still pretend, no one had really died. But that was besides the point; what if it was real and real people had died. "Okay, do we have an estimate on the damage from opening the flood gates yet?" Lancaster looked up at the Prime Minister, after looking down at his own data. "Not yet, sir. We're still pulling everybody back and letting the water flow where it will; we won't have a good idea of property damage until tomorrow morning. Hydrological factors. For now, the best thing we can do is wait." The only thing they could do, really. -- Would a private word to his Canadian counterpart be useful? Williams considered that for a moment. He didn't need a video link or telepathy to tell him what was going through MacIntyre's mind at the moment; he'd been there himself. Looking at his SECDEF, the two men shared a look. "Remember when it was our first time?" Williams asked in a whisper in Greek, away from the teleconferencing mic. "Nai. MacIntyre's going through that, you think?" Piper replied, in the same language. "Nai. Except in his case it ain't soldiers, it's civilians." A nod. "I'm going to prod my Canadian counterpart and General Newcastle privately, see if we can't surprise her with a long chat with those who've been there, after this is done." "Good idea." Then, back to the table. A large monitor was set up on a wall, and was displaying a map of the areas hit by flooding. Fortunately, Williams noted mentally, they didn't have to consider the massive job that would be cleanup and recovery. That was beyond the scope of the exercise. --- "Control to all players. It is now 2000 EDT, 4 June 2013. Rain is forecast to continue through the night throughout the Plains region, at rates of between one-quarter and one-half inch per hour." The flood situation was only getting worse - the entirety of the Missouri River was now either flooding or beginning to flood. The extra manpower had come in handy in that situation, allowing for flood defenses to be built rather stronger than they may have otherwise been. The Mississippi, north of St. Louis, was expanding into its natural floodplains; happily, the residents had self-evacuated once the first warnings went out, local cops were saying. 1993 was, it seems, not forgotten easily. In Canada, the situation was similarly grim. Opening the flood gates on the hydroelectric dams had helped, to an extent, but the breach of Dam #4 on the Michipicoten River had turned into a complete collapse - the surrounding area was under at least 7 to 8 feet of water on 3 miles of either side of the river. The other dams were holding, though just barely in some cases. Power was out in much of Ontario, as a result of the dam shutdowns. It was a long, hot, summer evening - fortunately, in Western Ontario, it was raining "cats and dogs, plus the odd turtle and squirrel", as one CBC anchor had put it; this rather reduced the attractiveness of rioting. Eastern Ontario, fortunately, mostly had power, so it was just sweltering and sticky and wet, but without the blackouts that would cause normally sane people to riot. --- The security situation was stable enough, which the PM was grateful for. That was one small comfort in this deluge of problems. At this point he felt there was little more he could do; the military and emergency services would continue to evacuate and maintain order as best they could. In Washington, things were quiet. Random chatter kept things going at a low buzz, as data streamed in. POTUS looked over the screens. "This can't possibly be all." "No shit, boss." --- <3 hours later, realtime> "Control to all players: It is now 2300 EDT, 4 June 2013." Further dams in Ontario (2 on the Kaministiquia River, and one on the Brule river) were breaching, as the duration and volume of water simply wore down the defenses. Fortunately, the areas had been evacuated, but the water wasn't stopping. Similarly, in the US, more and more of the Mississippi River was flooding. Where defenses could be built, they were being built - but where time had run out, the building was stopped and the areas were evacuated. The phrase of the day was "acceptable losses". And then, as if Biblical-scale flooding wasn't enough (Secretary Abbot, with his typical humor, had noted "We have boats handy, but do we have two of every kind of animal?"), there came yet more fun news. "Control to all players: Explosions have been reported at the Niagara electricity transmission interconnection point. Cascade failures have struck the Quebec, Ontario, New England, Great Lakes, and Pennsylvania- New Jersey-Maryland grids, causing failures throughout the grid areas, - Hide quoted text - including the cities of New York, Philadelphia, Toronto, Boston, Ottawa, Washington, Baltimore, Chicago, Detroit, Windsor, Thunder Bay, Montreal, Quebec City..." And on the list went. Power flickered in Ottawa and Washington, as the power supplies switched to generators. --- "This is it," said Newcastle. Of course there would be a terrorist incident. The worst possible event at the worst possible time. "We should dispatch JTF-2 at once." "Isn't that cheating?" asked MacIntyre. Of course he suspected the same thing, but he wanted to stay within the rules of the game. "Power interconnectors don;t just explode like that, sir," said Newcastle. "Only direct sabotage could cause one to blow up. We need to send in a military unit to secure the area before any repair crews and begin their work." "Fine, do it," said the PM. Who was he to question the military? --- "Oh, thank God for rain. Creating Biblical hell, but nobody's likely to riot in the rain," mused Williams. "We hope." "Sometimes I begin to reconsider if relying on the Canadians was a good idea," mused Dan Porbansky, the Secretary of Energy. A withering glance and a mouthed 'Microphone!' from POTUS. "Distributed generation would be a good thing," noted Paul Moskowitz, the head of the NRC, over the comm links. "Yeah, but where the hell could we place generating capacity in the grid area that wouldn't rile up NIMBYs?" Williams noted. "Anyhow...NY Guard had better be moving its ass to the border now. FBI has jurisdiction, but is ordered to cooperate with FERC; what's the likelihood it's not terrorism?" "Slim, but possible," noted SECEN. "How?" "Squirrels. It doesn't happen often, but it does happen," the Secretary of Energy noted. "Saw it a few times when I worked at the interconnection station near Seattle. But it's not entirely likely. Or the usual operator or computer error." --- "Quick response team is entering the are via Black Hawk now," reported Newcastle. "If this was terrorism they've likely run by now, but there's no sense in sending a repair crew to their deaths. It won't take them long to secure the area." Would it really be this bad? Katrina and 9/11, any sort of natural disaster or terrorist attack, were something that always happened to the Americans. In twenty years there hadn't been a flood, fire or blizzard that had killed more than twenty people in Canada, and the last terrorist incident was over forty years ago. Would they be prepared when the real thing came? Another update from Control, then. "It is now 2350 EDT, 5 June 2013" "Surface to Air Missiles have been fired from the Kanesatake Mohawk reservation, Quebec, at aircraft flying into Trudeau International Airport in Montreal. One Air Canada aircraft flying from London has been hit on starboard wing while in traffic pattern, and is currently attempting an emergency landing." --- "What?" exclaimed MacIntyre, his face contorting into a look of both confusion and indignation. "Where the Hell do you get a SAM here?" "The same place you get any weapon brought into Canada," said Lancaster dryly. "Detroit." "We obviously need to send a response team to Kanestake," said Newcastle. "JTF-2 is busy with the power station, a CSOR company can be there in under half an hour." "Well obviously," retorted the PM sardonically. "Send the CSOR unit." "Control to all players:" Control spoke evenly. "Alert company of CSOR has been deployed to Kanestake. Cordon and Search operation in progress. Company commander reports that reserve inhabitants are throwing stones and other debris at CF personnel." 2 hours later, the SAMs had been found, the hit aircraft had made a nerve-wracking landing at Montreal-Trudeau, but the shooters had not been found. The rest of the weekend was spent in mop-up, with a share of false alarms and overhyped incidents for each side to keep the adrenaline going. On Sunday morning, bleary-eyed crews in Ottawa and Washington received a welcome phrase from West Point: "Control to all players: End of exercise. End of exercise. Good play, everybody. We're downloading the tapes now." --- The Northern side had certainly bore the full brunt of the simulation. Rapidly failing damns and two separate terrorist attacks, one with heavy military weapons, had stretched the CF and civil security forces well beyond their breaking point. Some blame was, wordlessly of course, laid before the PM for taking so long to allow the damns to be flooded. The military, CSIS and RCMP all had to work on integration, coordination as well as deployment of forces in a more rapid manner. The response to the terrorist attacks had been deemed satisfactory by the NDHQ, who privately dismissed the entire thing as too unrealistic to garner criticism of their response. Williams listened to the Canadian commentary silently, then spoke up. "Okay, I think you all missed the point," he comments simply. "Yes, this was...far-fetched. It felt like an ep of 24 sometimes. You had more thrown at you than would likely happen at once, yes, and I think Control clubbed you for being new, sometimes. But at the same time, you bore the brunt because, reality is, you're in a uniquely sucking position climate-wise: We get floods practically every summer, and seeing 50 or more die to nature is not common, but not out of the institutional memory for most of our hospitals; Canada has had very few mass-casaulty events in the last 20-30 years, and hasn't dealt with active security threats like Control posited since, really, the FLQ - which was 43 years ago. You're out of practice. "For what it's worth: We got lucky only in that there's been a massive drought these last few years in the Southeast. Otherwise, a normal summer, we'd have seen flooding throughout most of the South, too. "Where I see you need to work: Coordination and mobilization. For various reasons; financial, constitutional, strategic, et cetera, you rely on the regular forces, backed up heavily by a proportionally tiny reserve force, to handle -anything- the local cops and the RCMP can't handle. "Okay, that's the nature of the Canadian system; All well and good, but I sensed a problem: It's been years since you've actually stress- tested the system you have. How long has it been since the CF held a full-scale mobilization exercise, General Newcastle? Our defense attache in Ottawa said it was something like '88, '89, connected with REFORGER. That right?" "Moving on: I see issues in our response, too. The National Guard does good work - they were a strategic multiplier just because it meant every state had people on the ground, controlled locally, who could seamlessly integrate with federal assets when it became necessary. But Control was sneaky, my notes say. We got static from the State Adjutants General, static that the Pentagon pushed through with willpower alone - not surprising, they're often...politically selected, with no reference to training, experience, or competence beyond what we force. It'll take a real disaster, I sense, before one can clean that out. "Finally: Overall...I'm going to give my side a B-. Low because, frankly, there was a lag time in response I really didn't like. C'mon, folks. This was an *exercise*. You can do better, dammit. Domestic agencies especially need to work on their exercises. "Around here, we have to give Ottawa a C-. You passed, but: "Mr. Prime Minister, I'm not going to pull any punches. In a disaster, in a crisis, you can't save everybody. You -must- triage. You -must- be able, psychologically, to accept losses. You don't have the experience, so there's no blame upon you for hesitating. Better you did it *here* than in a real situation. But...Yes, it's hard. It's never easy. But you have to be...Well, almost heartless, ruthless. You have to -let people die- to make a response work. Otherwise, you -will- lose everybody. "Now, Ottawa, your reviews?" --- "We don't really have much more to add," said General Newcastle. The CF senior staff agreed with the American counterparts about coordination and mobility being the weakness of the military, an issue that would have to be addressed. "Okay then. Thanks for the exercise. Control, Washington signing off." --- Actions: 1. Exercise conducted by US and Canada. From pbuck11 at aol.com Thu Jan 10 19:45:29 2008 From: pbuck11 at aol.com (Pat B) Date: Thu, 10 Jan 2008 17:45:29 -0700 Subject: [War] Relaunch world report. Message-ID: <4786BC29.1080305@aol.com> WAR: World Report - For all actions since Volume 2, advancing the timeline to Jan 7-Jan 12, 2014 United Nations Security Council (Permanent Members): United States, United Kingdom, France, China, Russia United Nations Security Council (Non-Permanent Members): Until September, 2007: India, Egypt, Norway, Mexico, Venezuela Until October, 2007: Canada, Chile, Italy, South Africa, Japan Pending UN Security Council Actions: None Pending UN General Assembly Actions: None United Nations Secretariat: No news. ============== This is the kickoff of the new year, This will be a standard things that have happened in the time jump, everyone will get challenges to overcome so let's see some posting. Also the 2014 Olympics will be held in Russia.... feel free to send teams.... =============================================== ACTION RESPONSES ============================= CHINA (PEOPLE'S REPUBLIC OF) Population Approval: 55% Government Approval: 57% International Favor: 50% Economic Growth: 9.7%, high Inflation: 2.7% Unemployment: 10.1% ---------------------------------- The Last 9 months have brought many challenges for the Chinese government, local elections were a surprising success people seemed to line up to vote in secret ballot. Tibetans are emboldened by China's democratization and began to pro independence protests, the Dali Lama has been encouraging the "demonstrations and the increase of free speech." Police and Military officials are a bit surprised and unsure how to handle protests, since it seems less like the old days of the crackdown and imprisoning large groups are gone. There have been isolate incidents where Police and Soldiers struck back at protestors, 150 were injured and 5 were killed. The occupation of North Korea continues though there have been a serious influx in a return to the days of the 'glorious leader' several soldiers have been killed in an carbomb explosion. ============================================= FRANCE Population Approval: 59% Government Approval: 55% International Favor: 53% Economic Growth: 2% Inflation: 2.6% Unemployment: 10% -------------------------------------------------------------------- The EU universal rules are beginning to improve business, it makes it easier for countries all over to do business, however there are still smatterings of protests from merchants who see it as 'stripping away French identity.' Police report an increase in crime as a burgeoning middle class begin to move in to rougher areas and burglaries and muggings are up in addition to weapons offenses as citizens begin to defend themselves from the criminals. ============================================== GERMANY Population Approval: 55% Government Approval: 55% International Favor: 55% Economic Growth: 2.5% Inflation: 2.8% Unemployment: 9% ---------------------------------------------------------- The Welfare to work program has hit several bumps including people not able to find works. Protestors continue to object to the cut off of benefits and some just to the general idea. African immigrants continue to flow in to areas increasing tension, racially motivated crimes increase as neo nazi youth attack immigrants who are supposedly taking their jobs, and Muslim youth will ambush German youth in preemptive strikes. THe last clash between Skinheads and several Musilm protection gangs caused 2 days of rioting with over a half million in property damage. ============================================== JAPAN Population Approval: 57% Government Approval: 55% International Favor: 57% Economic Growth: 2.8% Inflation: 0.6% Unemployment: 4% ---------------------------------------------------------- Things continue at a good pace in Japan, the response to the Korea situation has buoyed the people's self esteem, especailly with the increased attacks on Chinese soldiers in North Korea. Domestically the Birth rate is still a major concern, with fewer children being born. The Economy continues to grow steadily and stronger. RUSSIAN FEDERATION Population Approval: 62% Government Approval: 58% International Favor: 56% Economic Growth: 2.5% Inflation: 5.6% Unemployment: 6.2% ----------------------------------------------------------------------- National pride is increasing as people get ready for the olympics in Sochi. A temporary uptick in jobs due to the massive amount of tourists coming in. Security is a concern as protestors have begun to be more vocal several have become more violent with clashes with Riot police becoming a near daily occurance. ============================================= UNITED STATES OF AMERICA Population Approval: 58% Government Approval: 56% International Favor: 62% Economic Growth: 2.9% Inflation: 3.1% Unemployment: 4.6% ---------------------- The increase in effort in to global actions has improved US standing throughout the world but it has come at a price for this Administration, domestic issues. Activists including Al Sharpton's National Action Coalition have protested the President's failure to address the serious issues confronting the poorest americans. National days of protest have begun throughout the United States. In Congress resistance begins to crop up from both sides of the Aisle, Democrats protest the lack of attention to domestic issues while several more conservative Republicans argue that he is just spending too much money period. In other news a Youtube video of teen pranksters going through security checkpoints with fake Identities for such people as Osama Bin Laden, Ted Kazcynski, Timothy Mcveigh, and D.B Cooper have given Homeland security a black eye, especially when two pranksters with fake Identities for Lee Harvey Oswald and Leon Czolgh took the White House Tour. ============================================= ECONOMIC INDICATORS NOTE: Initial indicators were gleaned from as recent sources as possible, for the most recent term possible (annualized). In some cases, the numbers used are published estimates, but the English- speaking nations' data is more or less right from the source. Depression: Economic forces retracting uncontrolably and at a dangerous pace with little end in sight. Recession: Economic forces retracting, but more shallow than Depression and more controlably. Sometimes necessary and part of regular economic trends, although prelonged. Revision: Economic forces retracting slightly and short term, associated with economic systems refitting to accomodate new industries, concentrations, etc. Zero: No movement one way or the other. Low: Comparatively low Economic growth/activity. (miniscule to about 2%, depending) Good: Average economic activity (ranging from 2%-5% normally) High: Above average performance (Greater than 5%) Sometimes dangerous if in excess of 8% continuously. SITES OF INTEREST WAR Website: http://war.dagarcia.net/ Nova Horizon Simulations: http://www.novahorizon.com United Nations: http://www.un.org/ Central Intelligence Agency: http://www.cia.gov/ CIA World Factbook: https://www.cia.gov/cia/publications/factbook/ Federation of American Scientists: http://www.fas.org/ GlobalSecurity.org: http://www.globalsecurity.org/ CNN: http://www.cnn.com/ BBC: http://www.bbc.com/ New York Times: http://www.nytimes.com/ From michael.michaeldowney at gmail.com Thu Jan 10 21:27:22 2008 From: michael.michaeldowney at gmail.com (Michael Downey) Date: Thu, 10 Jan 2008 22:57:22 -0330 Subject: [War] Russia: "Security Issues" Message-ID: <6b6ab8a70801101827t6c194e50u1af2faa85ed5225d@mail.gmail.com> "Security Issues" President Leonid Nemerenko Russian Federation 7 January 2014 -=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=- The end of the first year of a leader's administration was supposed to be some sort of benchmark or huge achievement, like turning sixteen or your first drink. Yet when day 365 of his first term, and he hoped every day there would be a second, had come and gone President Nemerenko only felt an astounding sense of just how much more work had to be done. Not that he was disappointed with his work thus far. Macroeconomic reforms that the Western markets had been screaming about for years, the military back on track to full readiness, free trade agreements with the United States and Japan, a reformed MVD and a new pilot program for the police services underway in Moscow, and a personal approval rating above sixty percent. "And yet with all these great success I am still plagued by bullshit like this," he said to his Interior Minister, Vladimir Kalugin, throwing the latest copy of Interfax down on the central coffee table. The said MVD chief was already in Nemerenko's office casually lounging in one of the cushioned chairs. Had there been other people present Kalugin would have rose but since they were alone he didn't bother to show Nemerenko deference that they both knew Kalugin did not have. "Rioters will make a disturbance anywhere there is a great deal of public attention," retorted Kalugin as he picked up the newspaper. "I mean just read the text of the article. It doesn't even say what they are rioting about. They don't even know themselves! Just a bunch of drunks, disenchanted communists and whatever band of crazies have come out of the ultranationalist camp this month. The MVD and Krasnodar Province Militia have the situation well under control. The Kremlin has spent close to twelve billion US dollars on security, public works and urban improvement since Sochi was chosen." "Attention," mused Nemerenko. "The attention of the entire world is upon the Winter Olympics, Sochi and Russia. Do you understand Kalugin? This is the most important political event for Russia since Putin was forced out of office. This is our chance to showcase to the world just how far we have come. To demonstrate that Russia is a respectable, First World nation once again and not the drunk old has been of Europe. Which means I don't want the BBC showing live images of your goons beating up and killing protesters." "I assure you Comrade President that the MVD and local militia are handling the situation with the proper amount of restrain and tact," replied the Minister. "The agreement you signed with President Williams last year has been enormously helpful. The FBI has given our security forces a whole knew doctrine when it comes to areas we were previously lacking." Which was to politely say human rights. Stipulation the Americans had added for Russia to gain access to their technical expertise and better investigative techniques. Nemerenko had been swallowing his pride at the time but now it had proved useful. Plus Congress had paid for the whole thing, which saved him a rubble or two. "Just make sure there aren't any stupid incidents. And get rid of those damn rioters before they making us look bad," said Nemerenko irately. "What about our more advanced security measures?" "We are working around the clock in conjunction with the FSB to anticipate any possible terrorist attacks. The SVR is monitoring exterior sources to do the same. The MVD's anti-terror units are all training around the clock to act as rapid response forces, and the 1st and 7th OSN squads will be on had for the entire length of the Games," explained Kalugin in his most reserved tone. "We've also installed a state of the art CCTV system in and around the area of the city where the event will be taking place. The FBI and DHS have given us their most advanced facial recognition software and we are working closely with the Americans and EU agencies to compile a list of potential terrorists we should be on the lookout for." The President nodded. Kalugin was many things, stupid was not one of them. As much as he felt the man was an icehearted thug he also respected the MVD chief for his skill and intelligence. And Nemerenko never squandered a resource. "Don't screw this up." "I won't." "I'm very serious Vladimir," emphasized Nemerenko. "If things go well in will reflect a positive image of Russia in the eyes of the international community. If things go poorly it will set us back considerably in the political arena." "And cost me my job," noted Kalugin with one of those sly smiles the Minister gave in his rare displays of emotion. "At best, Vladimir, at best." The President took his seat behind his desk and pulled out a think report folder and flipped it to the first page. "The pilot police program seems to be going well in Moscow." "The Moscow Metropolitan Police are indeed proving to be a good investment," nodded Kalugin. "Once again we owe thanks to the Americans for their assistance. Their police methodology is fundamentally different from our system in a number of areas and has proven itself superior. Just look at the MMP report." "So we're ready for mass-adoption?" "I'd like to have a few more reviews but yes, I think the time is rapidly approaching. We'll take what we've learned from the MMP program and begin applying it throughout the rest of the country. We'll start with St. Petersburg, the other Federal City, and then begin reforming the Oblast militias along the same lines, along the same lines as the MMP. This will take time of course. Ten years for the project to be complete, maybe." "Well I'm pleased enough with the MMP to make that investment," shrugged Nemerenko. "The rule of law is the basis for any liberal democracy and a healthy market economy. I don't need to tell you that it is critically important for the militias to live up to that expectation." "And the additional funding we talked about?" "Always with the money," sneered Nemerenko. "Yes, I will ask the Assembly to double the budget for the MVD's Criminal Militia Service Department. Remember that the money is to be put into expanding and increasing the operations of the Main Offices for Financial and Organized Crime. And as with everything else, I expect results." "Of course Comrade President," said Kalugin as he stood. "I will go attend to everything we have discussed right away. If you will excuse me." --- Actions: 1) Carefully handle the rioting in Sochi. Make sure that the aid and training provided by the USA is applied to ensure there are no cases of police abuse. 2) The MVD, SVR and FSB will all focus on assessing any potential terrorist threats to the Winter Olympics in Sochi. 3) Have the MVD's 1st and 7th OSN (anti-terror) squadrons on hand during the Olympics as a quick reaction force. 4) Continue to integrate the technical, forensic and doctrine aid provided by the United States. Conduct a final review of the Moscow Metropolitan Police pilot program before a mass overhaul of all city and Oblast militias. 5) Double the operational budget of the MVD's Criminal Militia Services Department, with particular focus on the Financial and Organized Crime offices. From michael.michaeldowney at gmail.com Fri Jan 11 10:54:52 2008 From: michael.michaeldowney at gmail.com (Michael Downey) Date: Fri, 11 Jan 2008 12:24:52 -0330 Subject: [War] Russia: "The Strategic Balance" Message-ID: <6b6ab8a70801110754he9f56fdt3feca95da9a92bfd@mail.gmail.com> "The Strategic Balance" President Leonid Nemerenko Russian Federation 7 January 2014 -=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=- Andrei Yoselev was a man that had lived almost his entire adult life in the armed forces. His impressive record had been what prompted President Nemerenko to make the man Chief of the General Staff when he had taken office. And when Defence Minister Lentulov had retired to a nice dacha outside Tula, Yoselev had been Nemerenko's first choice as a replacement. How appreciative Yoselev was at this honor was dubious. At Nemerenko's insistence, Yoselev had formally retired from the Army and traded in his officer's uniform for a business suit, something that the man was quite unused to given how Yoselev constantly pulled and adjusted his tie as the group sat around the conference table. Then there was Yoselev's own replacement as Chief of the General Staff, Colonel-General Amir Rezakaev, now a full four-star. Rezakaev, also an Army man, was the former head of the Far East forces and their most senior field commander. He was half-Kazakh on his father's side but had not been brought up in the Muslim faith as it had been unfashionable to be of any sort of religious persuasion, Muslim in particular though, under the Soviet regime of the time. "Our nuclear arsenal are the family jewels of Russia," began Yoselev. "Our greatest, and probably only positive, inheritance from the Soviets. No one has as many warheads as we do. Not the Europeans, the Chinese or the Amerikanskiis. No matter how large, advanced or well-trained our conventional assets are, it will always be the Strategic Rocket Forces that will act as the first and last line of defence against invasion by a hostile power, be it China or NATO." "But there are issues with the SRF that need to be addressed," interjected Rezakaev. Yoselev frowned, not taking too kindly to the General interrupting him but held his tongue. "Moral among the men and officers is no longer an issue. Thanks to the Initiative 18 plan introduced last year all men in all branches of the military are getting regular pay and benefits on par with that of their Western contemporaries. In fact, our soldiers are probably better looked after now than they have ever been in our history. The problem with the SRF is that many of our ICBMs are reaching the end of their service life, general maintenance issues with silos and storage sites, and our command and control system being a bit dated." "And the SRF would like added security at all missile bases and mobile units," continued the Defence Minister. "We want to harden all our facilities against the possibility of a terrorist attack. The last thing we need is some madmen launching one of our ICBMs at Boston and starting World War Three." As far as Nemerenko knew, and being President he knew a great deal of things some of which he would rather not, there had never been a terrorist attack on a missile base. Not that he disagreed with Minister or Chief that it was a wise precaution. Better safe than a cloud of radioactive vapor. "Alright, outline me your proposal." "A full security company added to the existing details of every facility and mobile unit," explained Yoselev. "Plus a review of all current personnel at every facility by the GRU. Background checks, psychological evaluations, that sort of thing. Each facility will have its computer systems upgraded to latest spec, repairs to unmaintained and dilapidated buildings and equipment. That it to be completed in one to two years." "We also want to begin designing and implementing an new national C3 system for strategic command of the nuclear forces," said Rezakaev. "The existing system was built in the 1980's and is probably quite dated in comparison to the systems being used by the Americans and Chinese. A more modern system would allow faster response time, better safety oversight and better coordination. Upon approval from the Assembly we'd like to have the system online in three years." Nemerenko nodded. "Alright, I'll agree to all of those proposals. You also mentioned upgrading our missile inventory?" "We want to begin replacing all missiles currently in service with our mobile divisions with the Topol-M design. It was a process started by the SRF in the early 2000s but ran into funding snags," explained Yoselev. There was something in Yoselev and Rezakaev's faces that made Nemerenko become more suspicious. "What about our silo units?" "For those we want to begin production of the RS-24 design," answered the Defence Minister. The President frowned. "If I recall correctly, the RS-24 was designed specifically to penetrate missile defense shields. Don't you gentlemen think that will provoke our American friends?" Of course they knew, it was a rhetorical question. As they correctly viewed Russia's nuclear arsenal as the most important aspect of national defence they shared that lingering fear that a NMD system deployed by the United States at home and in Europe would kneecap that strategy. Nemerenko for his part felt the NMD idea was a pipe dream. Bush and Richardson had never made any meaningful progress on it and Williams hadn't even shown any signs of interest. "Comrade President, the Americans are the ones that violated the ABM Treaty," pointed out Yoselev. "What's the point of nuclear weapons if they aren't a credible threat?" "FIrst they didn't violate the treaty, they used an agreed upon escape clause," corrected Nemerenko. "Second, they agreed to appease us by signing SORT, a gesture we accepted. Third, the whole idea of the NMD shield is to protect the US against a small number of missiles fired by rogue states like North Korea or Iran. I've looked at the reports. There is no existing or foreseeable NMD technology that could hope to swat away the sheer number of missiles we could launch. NMD is not something we have to worry about." "With respect sir, we must always be prepared for any eventuality," noted Rezakaev. "Especially in this area." "Relations with the United States are at an all-time high," countered Nemerenko. "Free trade, technical assistance for our security and militia forces, even military cooperation. Did you yourself not comment on how beneficial our training exercise with the US Army was last year? I don't want to compromise our growing alliance by comparing the size of our..... missiles. I will agree to have the Topol-M mass-produced to replace all of our existing ICBMs. What is your projected time frame?" "Fifteen percent of the inventory a year for seven years," answered Rezakaev. "And if we cannot implement the RS-24, can we at least introduce guidance upgrades to the Topol-M before mass production begins?" "Done," said Nemerenko. "I will have the Prime Minister ply the Assembly for the funding. Thank you for your time, gentlemen." --- Actions: 1) Increase security at all mobile units and silo bases of the Strategic Rocket Forces to harden them against potential terrorist attacks. 2) Introduce better screening, background checks and psychological evaluations of SRF personnel. 3) Conduct general maintenance and upgrades at all SRF bases and silos. 4) Begin work on a new, more modern C3 system for the SRF, to be finished in three years. 5) Introduce an upgraded version of the Topol-M ICBM to replace all missiles in the current inventory, to be completed within seven years. From michael.michaeldowney at gmail.com Sat Jan 12 13:25:56 2008 From: michael.michaeldowney at gmail.com (Michael Downey) Date: Sat, 12 Jan 2008 14:55:56 -0330 Subject: [War] Russia: "Money Talk" Message-ID: <6b6ab8a70801121025g4557bb3fg9fcb3143556cbe31@mail.gmail.com> "Money Talk" President Leonid Nemerenko Russian Federation 8 January 2014 -=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=- "I love capitalism," Nemerenko said as he poured himself a small cup of tea from the Romanov-era set, a little souvenir of Lenin's that had passed into the hands of every Russian leader thereafter. "When I was a young man and my father was a member of the Supreme Soviet he once showed me a recording of a speech by Deng Xiaoping. He said that our Chinese Communist counterparts had the right idea, that the free market could design and produce anything and everything better and more efficiently than our bloated communist system. I mean how many of us here looked to the West and longed for an economic system like theirs back during the wanning days of the Soviet Union?" In their hearts all of the USSR's leaders had known what was coming. Some like Yeltsin had embraced it while others like the GKChP that had briefly overthrown Gorbachev had been terrified it and almost plunged the country into civil war to prevent the inevitable change. "It had been a hard road from communism to capitalism," said Ivan Lencuovich, the Minister for Economic Development and Trade. "Xiaoping was careful in his reforms and maintained a dictatorship over his state. The Soviet system broke down almost immediately and Yeltsin was forced to grapple with making Russia into a democracy and a free market economy all at once." "Yes and it was not an easy road at all," agreed the President with a nod. "I respect Yeltsin for what he did and the progress he did make on those fronts but in many ways he failed. Our original transfer to free market was haphazard and flawed and Putin very nearly turned this country into a dictatorship. President Severov's election was almost a mini-revolution for Russia and his economic and social reforms truly made us into a an actual democratic, free market state and not the quasi one that Yeltsin worked himself to make." Nemerenko smiled and sipped his tea. "But enough reminiscing about the past. Today things have improved. Since last year the economy has grown 2.6%, a modest but still positive number. The government has continued with macroeconomic reform such as the overhaul of our banking and credit industries to conform to World Bank and WTO standards and the introduced of the SMESD Act which reformed our corporate laws and got rid of all that bureaucratic red tape and mismanagement that was plaguing our economy." "There is still certain areas that need improvement," noted Lencuovich. "First and foremost, the corporate world here in Russia is dominated by men. Women have had a hard enough time penetrating into the middle management sector and have made no headway into upper management. Equal economic opportunity for both men and women is important for future development and growth. I've had my Ministry draw up a bill based upon a program the Norwegians introduced back in the first part of the last decade mandated that the Board of Directors for every publicly traded company have 40% of its membership comprised of women. The bill we've drawn up requires all publicly traded corporations in Russia have 15% of their board of directors made up of women, to be done within three years." "Not that I disagree but it might be difficult to implement," observed Nemerenko. "Isn't this the kind of government intervention into the private sector we said we'd try to avoid?" "How and who the companies appoint is totally in their hands. And the novelty of such a law in Russian economic culture is why we set the provision at only 15%. I know gross state participation was what made Putin such an idiot when it came to running the economy, but government does have the responsibility to ensure competition is fair with equal opportunity for every groups, company and individual." "Fair enough, I'll put the bill to the Assembly. You also wanted to talk about Gazprom?" "Our state oil company has become very profitable over the past ten years or so," said Lencuovich. "Despite all the moves towards renewable energy oil is still very profitable. But the price of oil is not what I'm here about. Under Putin Gazprom grew into some sort of dystopia mega corporation. It diversified itself from energy into banking, agriculture, media, insurance, etc" Nemernko was well aware of what Gazprom has become under Putin. A state within a state run by the man's cronies and subordinates. There had even been moves by the company to create its own private army, something that had quite a stir in the Duma and nearly forced Severov to step in with Federal troops when he took office. "We've of course cleared out the company leadership of pro-Putin members and replaced them with administrative personnel interested in making sure the company runs properly and not lining their own pockets," continued Lencuovich. "Gazprom should be what it what it was originally intended to be: an oil extraction company under the ownership of the federal government. All it's interests outside of oil should be immediately. Half of the company's controlling stock in these areas will be given to employees of said subsidiaries, the other half sold on the open exchange. As with the privatization of state-owned banking groups last year, extreme care will be taken to ensure said shares are sold properly and fairly and not to potential oligarchs. It will make Gazprom easier to operate, create more competition, give something to the workers and raise some revenue for us." The President nodded his consent. "Speaking more on the subject of state-owned companies, I wish to inquire about how things with Rosimushchestvo." 'The Russian Federal Agency for Federal Property Management of the Russian Federation,' or Rosimushchestvo, was the quasi-corporate entity responsible for overseeing all the Russian government's various corporate assets and interests, Gazprom being one. "In conjunction with the MVD we have been doing extensive background checks on all Rosimushchestvo employees," answered the Minister. "Surprise audits and inspections have weeded out any corrupt elements. I've recently appointed a new Director who I can personally attest is both competent and trustworthy." Fighting corruption in the government and military was one of the highest priorities on Nemerenko's legislative agenda and he had demonstrated, subtly and not-so-subtly, how harsh and intolerant he would be towards said corrupt elements. "I'm pleased with the progress your Ministry has made Ivan," commented Nemerenko. "I am this new initiatives will prove very fruitful. Keep me informed of all developments." --- Actions: 1) Introduce legislation that will require all Russiam corporation to have 15% of the board of directors membership composed of women within three years. 2) Sell all of Gazprom's interests outside of the oil sector (which includes banking, insurance, media, agriculture). Half of the shares in these subsidiary interests will be given to the company workers, while the other half will be publicly traded. Take steps to ensure the selling of said shares will be fair and in keeping with competition laws. 3) Continue to weed out corrupt elements within the Russian government. Take special care to ensure proper practices in Rosimushchestvo, the Federal agency responsible for managing the government's corporate assets. From michael.michaeldowney at gmail.com Sun Jan 13 18:32:51 2008 From: michael.michaeldowney at gmail.com (Michael Downey) Date: Sun, 13 Jan 2008 20:02:51 -0330 Subject: [War] Russia: "Old Wounds that Need Healing" Message-ID: <6b6ab8a70801131532r5f90c304r51d99e519eb6f527@mail.gmail.com> "Old Wounds that Need Healing" President Leonid Nemerenko Russian Federation 8 January 2014 -=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=- Nationalism. An accursed word that always left a bitter taste in Nemerenko's mouth. A blinding sense of historical entitlement that had been the primary cause of war and chaos in the post-Cold War era. No country was innocent of its trappings, Russia in particular. The bloated nationalistic ego of Putin had dragged the Federation into a number of unwanted quagmires that Nemerenko had to fix. Not that the President had a hatred for patriotism. That was in his mind a different concept. Loyalty to one's state and culture was a step apart from a blind desire to assert unwarranted and quite often petty sense of 'us versus them.' A particular thorn in Nemerenko's side was the ongoing Abkhazia dispite. Abkhazia was a region of neighbouring Georgia that was currently engaged in a long-running secessionist struggle against central government in Tiblisi. In his infinite wisdom, Putin had saw fit to back the Abkhazi for no better reason than to flaunt his machismo. This combined with meddling in Georgia's internal politics had put a great rift between Russia and the former Soviet republic that at times had turned violent. "Do you know what I realized when I woke up this morning?" he said to Irena Denemetov, his Foreign Minister. "I don't really give a damn about Abkhazia at all." "A unilateral withdrawal of our support would be dangerous," cautioned Denemetov, always the voice of reservation within Nemerenko's cabinet. "Haven't we always said that peace and stability in the Transcaucasus to be one of our primary foreign policy objectives?" said the President. "How does destabilizing our relationship with Georgia and inflaming a nationalistic feud benefit us at all?" "I agree with your sentiment and firmly support the idea of bringing the Abkhazia-Georgia conflict to a close, but I disagree with simply withdrawing unilaterally and letting the Abkhazi fend for themselves. In that event the Georgians will simply invade the moment our peacekeepers leave the region. And THAT will bring instability to the Transcaucasus." Nemerenko begrudgingly nodded. "What is your proposal?" "We immediately cease all political activity, positive or negative, in Abkhazia. We will stop endorsing candidates and leaders in Abkhazia's internal government. Two, we cease issuing passports to Abkhazi nationals and let it be known that all existing passports will stopped being renewed, starting one year from now. This will put political pressure on Abkhazia; they have on year from now to start into negotiations to peacefully reintegrate or separate from Georgia lest their citizens become unable to ever leave the region, as neither the UN or any member state recognizes Abkhazia as a sovereign nation." "There are also a quarter of a million ethnic Georgians living in Abkhazia that are being oppressed by the government there," mused Nemerenko. "They can't vote, can't buy land, can't do business with Georgia and are subject to harassment and even violence. I'll tell Sukhumi that if they don't end this practice, I'll cut off all aid." "In addition I think we need to bring in external moderation to help," continued Denemetov. "The Georgians don't trust us after so many years of backing the Abkhazi, plus the other violations of their sovereignty we conducted under Putin." "The European Union," said Nemerenko. "I'll ask them to step in as additional moderators. And if possible I'll ask them to dispatch peacekeepers to join up with our troops in Abkhazia. The area is not overly violent but our peacekeeping forces are highly distrusted by the Georgians, and with good reason as we have already stated." "I don't need to warn you that this will cause quite a stir," warned the FM. "Even though we are only trying to force them to the negotiating table to either peacefully reunify or peacefully separate, Abkhazia will perceive our unwillingness to continue unilateral support for their independence as a betrayal." The President shrugged. "What are they going to do about it? Half their national budget comes from Russia. No other nation, not the Americans, not the EU, support their independence movement. I will make it clear to Abkhazia that they are free to peacefully negotiate either reunification or independence from Georgia but must do it in that fashion: peacefully. Russia will no longer act as a silent compatriot to a low-intensity civil war." --- Actions: 1) Russia will no longer support the independence of the Abkhazia region of Georgia and instead adopt a more neutral stance, encouraging both sides to the negotiating table to peacefully determine if Abkhazia will formally separate or reunify with Georgia. 2) Quietly threaten the Abkhazi government in Sukhumi: end the mistreatment of Georgians living in Abkhazia or Russia will cut of all financial aid. 3) Russia will no longer issue passports to Abkhazi nationals and will cease renewing existing passports in one year. 4) Ask the EU to join Russia in mediating the dispute and if possible send military units to join existing Russian peacekeepers, as Georgia places little faith in Russia (sadly for good reason) Reference: Georgia-Abkhazia Conflict- http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Georgian-Abkhaz_conflict Abkhazia- http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Abkhazia From Chazenesq2b at aol.com Sun Jan 13 20:56:36 2008 From: Chazenesq2b at aol.com (Chazenesq2b at aol.com) Date: Sun, 13 Jan 2008 20:56:36 EST Subject: [War] China: "A New Year" Message-ID: "A New Year" President Xia Hong People's Republic of China January 1st, 2014 ==================================== (The Executive Residence- Beijing) Xinhua's reports from Tibet probably would've brought panic to the Chinese leadership of just a decade or so ago, but under the Hong administration it was greeted with a bit of hope. It indicated that the people of Tibet had realized their fortunes were tied in with Chinese politics... in essence a de facto statement of unity. Ironic given that independence seemed to be the whole reason behind the debating. "PLA and Special Police Units are on hand, and for the most part the protests are peaceful. We do have some indications that there have been small scale skermishes between local policing agencies, the PLA units, and protestors. Current reports show about 150 wounded, and 5 killed." Minister of Justice Peng reported. "Three of the dead were Monks who'd set themselves on fire. One officer was killed, the other was a young baby who caught a rubber bullet on a bad bounce. He was immediately evacuated, and died enroute to the hospital." It was tough biting back the tears upon hearing that news. "What kind of mother brings a young child to such an event?" Xia asked rhetorically, reaching with a shaking hand for some tea. As a mother herself... well maternal instinct was a damned thing, it effected you regardless of whether you were the child's mother or not. The news made her think of her own kids. "Please remind the different agencies involved that a maximum of restraint is to be observed. I will express my sorrow for the tragedy, but we must tread the line between enforcing the laws and allowing speech. I will also ask the PNC to authorize emergency funding for additional non-lethal technology and equipment for the Special Police Forces and the Military Police. Can we expand the free-speech zones in Tibet in such a fashion as to allow for greater space while maintaining security?" "We're working with the other Ministries already Madame President, and we believe we have an acceptable solution." Xia nodded, looking to the Minister of Defense next. "Tibet aside, what is the status of the Stabilization Force in North Korea?" "We've officially completed the first phased withdrawal on December 31st. I'm proud to say 150,000 fewer Chinese Troops are currently in North Korea from the initial entry. The current force is 600,000, with the majority of them being support troops to help continue to stand-up the North Korean Army. We've enhanced training regimens to bring up the less-capable North Korean troops into fighting fitness, and they have access to the equipment we're phasing out. To date, the new North Korean Army is slated to reach it's prescribed strength of 350,000 active duty troops by April. A reserve force of an equal number will be completed by June." Bing started with the optimistic news first. "We do have reports of a car-bombing outside of Pyongyang. A van stopped at a checkpoint along one of the highways entering the city exploded, killing four soldiers. The North Korean Navy and Airforces likely won't be fully assembled until late this year." Unfortunately they knew something like this was possible. The dismal American experience early on in Iraq had proven just how devastating asymmetrical warfare could be against a professional fighting force. "They did their jobs. They were good soldiers." Was all Xia could say. There wasn't really much higher a complement. "Please give our officers there permission to investigate, determine who's responsible, and crack down 'again' on any potential budding insurgents. Work as closely with the North Korean government as possible." As sad as it was, the incident provided the perfect opportunity to give North Korea the experience and authenticity they were looking for by giving them the lead in the investigation. "Begin making plans for the next withdrawal, 200,000 troops. I'd like it completed by April when the North Korean Army is at full strength." "Absolutely Madam President." Bing folded his hands. "You should also know that economically North Korea is advancing. The Army's Corps of Engineers wishes to report that approximately 75% of the reconstruction projects approved are completed or underway, and the North Koreans are handling most of the work. The regeneration process following the seismic disasters has been harder to handle, but we're getting a grasp on it. The Medical Corps, likewise, is happy to report they were able to make significant gains in treating the outbreaks manifested in North Korea. Not only are North Korean hospitals now functioning, but with Japanese and Russian assistance we've managed to provide a significant base of skilled physicians and medical specialists. I believe we will be able to turn over almost all basic services to the North Korean government by August of this year. I'd like permission to begin drawing up a post-stabilization agreement with the government... as the Americans maintain a presence in South Korea, we should make the same kind of commitment to our North Korean allies." Xia nodded. "Issue your proposal through the official ambassador." =================================================== ACTIONS 1. Make sure all police and army personnel realize extreme restraint is to be exercised when dealing with protests. Free speech zones to be set up so as to balance security and liberty. Issue a public address regarding the situation, and reminding all that Tibetans are entitled to the same liberties that all Chinese citizens are. 2. Pursue emergency funding from the National Congress for immediate acquisition of Non-lethal equipment and training for the Special Police Forces of the Ministry of Justice, as well as the PLA. In addition, offer the opportunities to major local police departments in China, as well as those in sensitive areas (Hong Kong, Tibet) to take part with matching funds. Ask for $500 Million to be spent on hiring technical advisors from the West. Equipment that is eligible for purchase with the funds will be listed and made available. 3. Give North Korea the lead in hunting down those responsible for the car bombing, and offer any and all support via a concurrent investigation. 4. Slate a time-table for the withdrawal of the next 200,000 troops, to be out by April when the Active Duty North Korean Army (NKA) reaches full strength. 5. Have Xinhua note the achievements made in North Korea thus far, giving credit to the men and women of the PLA stabilization force. Give North Korean troops the equipment China is phasing out, so they can take the best for themselves and build an effective fighting force cheaply. **************Start the year off right. Easy ways to stay in shape. http://body.aol.com/fitness/winter-exercise?NCID=aolcmp00300000002489 -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: http://esteroic.com/pipermail/war_esteroic.com/attachments/20080113/e405b106/attachment.html From john.penta at gmail.com Sun Jan 20 19:13:55 2008 From: john.penta at gmail.com (John Penta) Date: Sun, 20 Jan 2008 19:13:55 -0500 Subject: [War] US: Home Affairs Message-ID: "Home Affairs" 1 Jan 2014 Pres. John Williams USA ================= In his more normal home on the banks of the Navesink River in New Jersey, President Williams mused. In the last year, he'd become President of the United States...And, on September 8, 2013, at 10:32 AM, a dad. Weighing in at 6 lbs, 9 oz at birth, with a length of 21.5 inches, was Luke Daniel Williams, the newest member of the Williams family. Labor had been hard on Kay, especially given how big their little one was - for all that, the baby weight had come off relatively quick, and she was just about as physically active as she was before after only 2 months. That said, neither mom nor dad were rested. Luke was a quiet baby, except when he wanted to be loud - then, he was earsplittingly loud. And as it was, he was sleeping only 3-4 hours at a time. At present, he was laying on a blanket on the floor, making noises at Akela, who was looking at him as if to say "What are you bothering me for, kid?" Meanwhile, dad was reading; Kay was out taking a day for herself, and the Secret Service detail was "manned low", pared to a skeleton staff while he was in New Jersey; not much security was needed. His Football Officer was happily watching TV, not really needed given the general calm of the world situation. At that point, the doorbell rang. Swooping down with a "wooosh", John picked up his son, who squealed happily, and walked to the door, holding Luke in one arm as he opened the door. "Mrs. Coleman, you're early," he greeted, as Luke made happy noises at the new person. As they shook hands, the new President of the National Urban League nodded, before the President took her coat and hung it up on a coat rack near the door. "I thought the snow would take longer to be cleared on the Parkway, so I started out early. Thank you for meeting with me, Mr. President; I honestly thought you would hand it off to an aide or a Cabinet secretary." Then, as Luke reached out to her, she smiled. "And this is cutie I've heard all about?" Williams smiled. "Yup. Hey Luke, can you say 'hello' to Ms. Coleman?" He asked his son, who just made a noise. "Close enough," Coleman laughed, as John led the woman back to the living room. "I got the files you sent over - thanks; Have a seat wherever you'd like, I'm just going to make sure the little guy's comfy." With that, Luke went on the floor, happily squeezing a squeaky penguin that had been named Jose by the crews of Marine One - a name that had stuck. Soon enough, though, he was playing with an activity set he'd gotten for Christmas, happily pushing and pulling and bonking things as the grownups watched for a bit. "I remember when my kids were that young. Now they're teenagers and I miss it," Coleman noted. "How's being a dad?" "Hard...No, terrifying, sometimes. Fun, I wouldn't trade it for anything...But I'm still amazed sometimes that me, of all people, has this little person who depends on me now," Williams replied. "By all accounts, you're doing a great job. Besides, he doesn't know if you make mistakes; he's healthy, he's happy, he's safe, and he has a mom and dad who love him. That's what's important." A nod from the President, as Gizmo walked over to Luke, sniffed the toys, then licked the baby, who let loose happy squeals and giggles. "Gizmo, no licking Luke! Eww, doggy drool." Dad scolded with a smile, but not bothering to wipe the drool off the baby, as the visitor laughed. "And as these two try and mug for attention, what'd you think of what I sent over?" Coleman asked. "Not bad. Not what I have in mind, but not bad." "That's the thing: If you have a policy on the poor, nobody's heard it." "My fault; I've been so focused on foreign affairs and getting ready for the little guy that a lot of those programs didn't even make the radar screen. If I may, let me lay out my thoughts holistically. "Instinctively, my reflex is not to cut back on the role of government, but to avoid expanding it. I'm not *adverse* to government intervention where I see a need, but my first preference is for the private sector, whether that be for-profit companies, volunteer organizations, or religious communities, to take the lead. While I understand why everybody wants for the government to get involved, I'm not sure it's the best idea: My fear is that what we've had since the 1960s has gotten people to think the government will cure all ills, right all wrongs, Not a smart idea, because government -can't- do that. Whether it should or shouldn't doesn't matter: It *can't*. "Now, let's look at specific programs. "Most of the social programs you wrote about have one problem: There's no coordination. We throw benefits at people, state and federal, and don't look at everything as a package. We never do ask 'Okay, what's your plan?' of recipients." Coleman looked skeptical. "So government's going to go paternal, tell the poor what to do?" "Not at all. Instead, when someone gets *on* to the benefits rolls, they should be meeting with -one- case manager for all benefits. When the disabled receive benefits, we have them go through an Individual Education Plan when they're kids, or an Individualized Plan for Employment when they're adults. We make them, or their parents or other caregivers, say that they intend to achieve X in the next year, and Y, Z, W, and A are what we can do to help them do B, C, D, and E, which will at least give them objectives. And we hold everybody to it. Why not do that here? "Let's face it: These people are choosing to take government benefits; that hardly means government should tell them how to live their life, but it does mean that they shouldn't expect that the government will be disinterested in how they turn out." "So what do you intend?" Coleman asked. "Okay. Let's walk this through from the start. Someone comes in to receive benefits. They meet with the usual caseworker...And this time, besides the usual interview, they also take tests. If they don't have reading or math skills, they're signed up for that. If they don't speak English, they're signed up for language classes. The government pays. Their continued receipt of benefits is dependent on adequate attendance and progress - we'll provide child care if need be. They'll be paid a stipend to attend classes in lieu of work, if need be: But, and this is key to getting it past conservatives, this is all dependent on good behavior. If they're on drugs, they stop. If they have a drinking problem, they go into AA. If we need to test to make sure they're clean, we will. "The idea behind all these tests is to work out the jobs their interests and skills suit them for. Essentially, we change the nature of government benefits provision in the US for the able-bodied of working age: The idea isn't to give you money, it's to put you in a concentrated, focused skills-training program. By the end of your participation, you'll have a GED if you didn't complete High School. If you did, by the time we're done, you'll be ready to take college classes, mostly online - it'd be easy enough to use Open CourseWare and associated textbooks for materials; the government will pay for tuition, books, and fees for the *first two years*, subject to the same requirements as every other college-payment program. "Are we ever going to solve poverty completely? No. That's not likely to ever be possible in a free market system. But there are things you can do." At that point, the conversation got detailed. Meanwhile, on the floor, Luke noticed something. *Oooh, if I push this button, I get a funny noise!* --- Actions: 1. Meet with the National Urban League and begin planning a reconfiguration of how the US does public benefit programs: A. Various federal programs get shifted administratively to be placed where they would better fit inside the federal government - most prominently, food stamps and other nutrition programs move from USDA to HHS. B. Instead of meeting with a horde of separate people, benefit recipients meet with *one* case manager who screens them for *all* state and federal programs they may be qualified for - Screening in this case would include skills and other tests. C. To improve the quality of the workforce, those scoring at certain levels on the aforementioned tests would be assigned to reading, math, English-language, etc. programs as needed, as well as drug or alcohol programs if applicable. Satisfactory attendance and progress in the programs, as well as mandatory meetings with caseworkers on a regular basis, would be required for the receipt of benefits - on the other hand, the government will provide stipends where needed, provide child care to enable attendance, etc. At the end of their training, the idea is that if they don't have a GED, they should be able to get it - if they do have one, then they should be at least ready for community college courses. D. PR message: The government doesn't want to tell people how to live their lives, but receiving government benefits should come with an explicit promise to in fact work towards standing on your own two feet eventually. 2. HHS, Labor Dept, Ed Dept to take lead on program implementation. -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: http://esteroic.com/pipermail/war_esteroic.com/attachments/20080120/9b8cacdb/attachment.html From john.penta at gmail.com Sun Jan 20 20:29:35 2008 From: john.penta at gmail.com (John Penta) Date: Sun, 20 Jan 2008 20:29:35 -0500 Subject: [War] test Message-ID: Not seeing mail, though I sent it and it reached the archive. So test. From pbuck11 at aol.com Mon Jan 21 13:20:47 2008 From: pbuck11 at aol.com (Pat B) Date: Mon, 21 Jan 2008 11:20:47 -0700 Subject: [War] test Message-ID: <4794E27F.8060105@aol.com> test From john.penta at gmail.com Mon Jan 21 13:26:09 2008 From: john.penta at gmail.com (John Penta) Date: Mon, 21 Jan 2008 13:26:09 -0500 Subject: [War] test 2 Message-ID: For some godforsaken reason, I can't see my posts to the list...Testing to see if I have bashed the list enough. From michael.michaeldowney at gmail.com Mon Jan 21 13:27:31 2008 From: michael.michaeldowney at gmail.com (Michael Downey) Date: Mon, 21 Jan 2008 14:57:31 -0330 Subject: [War] test 2 In-Reply-To: References: Message-ID: <6b6ab8a70801211027u59a0e6fcn8e2c92c259ef2fc1@mail.gmail.com> I think this is a function of Gmail, John. I use it and never receive my own emails either. On Jan 21, 2008 2:56 PM, John Penta wrote: > For some godforsaken reason, I can't see my posts to the > list...Testing to see if I have bashed the list enough. > > _______________________________________________ > War mailing list > War at esteroic.com > http://esteroic.com/mailman/listinfo/war_esteroic.com > From john.penta at gmail.com Mon Jan 21 13:29:07 2008 From: john.penta at gmail.com (John Penta) Date: Mon, 21 Jan 2008 13:29:07 -0500 Subject: [War] test 2 In-Reply-To: <6b6ab8a70801211027u59a0e6fcn8e2c92c259ef2fc1@mail.gmail.com> References: <6b6ab8a70801211027u59a0e6fcn8e2c92c259ef2fc1@mail.gmail.com> Message-ID: Oh. *shakesfist at gmail* Work properly you evil thing. On Jan 21, 2008 1:27 PM, Michael Downey wrote: > I think this is a function of Gmail, John. I use it and never receive > my own emails either. > > On Jan 21, 2008 2:56 PM, John Penta wrote: > > For some godforsaken reason, I can't see my posts to the > > list...Testing to see if I have bashed the list enough. > > > > _______________________________________________ > > War mailing list > > War at esteroic.com > > http://esteroic.com/mailman/listinfo/war_esteroic.com > > > > _______________________________________________ > War mailing list > War at esteroic.com > http://esteroic.com/mailman/listinfo/war_esteroic.com > From john.penta at gmail.com Thu Jan 24 14:45:31 2008 From: john.penta at gmail.com (John Penta) Date: Thu, 24 Jan 2008 14:45:31 -0500 Subject: [War] US: Quality is Job #1 Message-ID: "Quality is Job #1" 3 January 2014 Pres. John Williams USA ================= Well, it had happened. Snow had hit DC over the past 48 hours; Lots and lots of snow. At least half a foot so far, and forecasters weren't calling for it to stop for a while. While it shut down the federal bureaucracy in the National Capital Region, it also turned the District into a winter wonderland; handling the snow was a District and state job, so even the President was out (heavily-bundled up) to enjoy the snow - as was Luke, who was even more heavily bundled up. Julius had brought Alex and Tim, and so the two older boys were building a snowman, while Luke was happily plopped in the snow, occasionally sticking a handful of snow (white snow, dad carefully made sure) into his mouth - and otherwise having fun looking around at all the people, especially from his stroller. As usual for him, Williams went about without any Secret Service detail - despite the protests of the detail, he'd won after he pointed out they'd be on the Ellipse, not off in the mountains. As such, it was a great opportunity for him to see people, talk to people, help kids encase their parents in the snow, and so forth. It was decidedly equal-opportunity: From the poor to the rich, left or right, everybody was out with their kids, enjoying the snow. No sooner had they begun their explorations of the winter landscape, though, then life got interesting. Namely, an out-of-control sled came sailing down the nearby hill, its pint-sized owner holding on for dear life and screaming. As young and old dove for cover, the sled zoomed by the Abbot snowman, before trying to head up another hill and tumbling back to a stop. As the grownups ran over, the kid, maybe 8 years old, poked his head out from under his sled. "Ow. Sorry..." He trailed off, before recognizing who was staring at him and just going silent. Williams grinned. "Not a problem. How'd you lose control?" He asked gently, as if the 'sudden loss of vocal cords' thing happened to anybody just sort of randomly and was no big deal. "H-h-hit a p-p-patch of i-ice, sir," the boy responded, looking wide-eyed. Then, a voice from the side could be heard. "I see someone found Joey!" called a voice with a Midwestern accent. The President looked up then, and grinned in recognition. It was, he recalled, Paul Rogers, President of the International Association of Machinists and Aerospace Workers. "Paul! So this is your kid on the runaway sled!" John laughed, pulling the boy up. "Yes, Mr. President, he is. My grandson, Ashley's son. Has his mother's eyes - and apparently her ability to drive in the snow, too." That got laughs from the other adults, as Joey Rogers just sort of blushed. "We're just teasin', dun worry," reassured Julius. At that, the boy smiled hesitantly and nodded, still seemingly starstruck. Then, he noticed Tim and Alex building their snowman again, and scampered over to join them, as Luke giave his patented "I'm being IGNOOOOORED over here! Why are you ignoring me! I'm cute and cuddly! You're supposed to be paying attention to me and adoring me!" cry. Then, as his dad, Uncle Julius, and the new person came over, and dad picked him up from the stroller, he cooed happily, John gave his son a smile, touching his nose with a gloved finger playfully, then looked to Rogers. "Actually...Once the kids are all cold, come on back with me. Have an idea for you." That got eyebrows raised from the union boss. "Oh?" "You'll see." Then, John looked over to see Joey building either a snow fort, or...what was that? Then, the boy looked over. "Sir, bring Luke over!" John did that, Luke riding on a shoulder. "A slide for him." John grinned, then looked at Luke. "Hey, Luke? Wanna go on the slide?" Luke either smiled at him, or passed gas. But he evidently didn't mind being laid on his tummy, or when Joey pushed him down the "slide". Indeed, it got a happy squeal out of him. So they did it again, and again. Until, finally, Daddy picked him up, put him in the stroller, and they went home, with Dad pointing out so many things. --- Soon enough, the group trooped in from the snow, and the grownups helped the kids out of their snowsuits. The President went off with Luke to change the little guy's diaper, as Julius and Paul herded the bigger kids into the Game Room on the Third Floor of the Residence. Soon enough, though, POTUS was back: Luke was dry, freshly-diapered, and placed (in footie PJs) in the playpen, watching the big kids play on the new Wii2 (just released last Christmas by Nintendo), as the grownups gathered around a table with coffee. "So, what was that idea you mentioned?" Rogers asked, as the kids played in the background. "Well, Joe Paris," the POTUS noted, referring to the Secretary of Labor, "had mentioned the labor shortage you've been seeing; Way we're looking at it, it's a commercial issue, a labor issue, and potentially a national security issue. "Now, I know your members don't necessarily like me. Okay. But insofar as I can help correct that shortage, I plan to. "Here's what we're thinking: "First, DOL will request appropriations, in a supplemental to FY14 and for FY15. to begin a program advertising the field to college students and, particularly, high school students. "Second, we'll be setting up a clearinghouse and training center for best-practices in training, to try and standardize training - it'll be accompanied by a certification system for workers, and an accreditation system for trade schools. The standard curriculum for the certification will be decided by a joint board of governors, composed of representatives from IAM, the National Association of Manufacturers, and DOL. To prevent a glut, or another shortage, it'll annually release 5-year forecasts for training - to let the trade schools plan class sizes, and so forth. "Third, along with DOD, DOL is going to start looking at ways to improve training with technology - things like working in virtual reality, augmented reality systems, so forth. "Fourth, we're going to be putting forth a plan to Congress on tax credits for training, with extra for training in fields with skill shortages - your field, nursing, emergency services personnel. We'll be working with the Joint Committee on Taxation and the Treasury to get a good credit set up, but also to balance the revenue implications. "What do you think?" Rogers looked thoughtful. "I like it, personally. I presume you want me to shop it by AFL-CIO?" "Yeah, we'll be having Commerce shop it by NAM tomorrow. It's under embargo til we hear back from all sides, then I'll do the press conference," Williams stated. "Understood." And with that, a glance to the playpen, where Luke had started banging away on a drum and squealing happily like there was no tomorrow. This got the bigger kids attention, and they'd put down the Wii to go give him an audience. Grins among the grownups. "He'll be obsessed with that for a few days, you realize?" Julius asked with a wink. "Yeah," John replied, watching his son figure out that banging things makes fun noises. "But hey, he's happy. I'll just take two Advil when it gets to be too much." --- Actions: 1. DOL to start an ad campaign aimed at college and high school students (anybody from 13 to 23, basically) for precision manufacturing careers. 2. Clearinghouse and training center on best practices in apprentice training to be set up by DOL, as the core of a worker-certification and trade school accreditation program jointly designed and run by the IAM (The machinists union), the NAM (Nat'l Assoc. of Manufacturers), and DOL. 3. DOD and DOL to look into ways to improve training (and production) rin the trades through the use of virtual reality training, augmented reality systems, and so forth. 4. Proposed to Congress with other modifications in the tax code to make it revenue-neutral: A tax credit for training, with extra money available for training in fields designated by the Department of Labor and Department of Education as being critically short of skilled personnel - Machinists, nurses, emergency services workers, etc.