[War] China: "The Iran Problem"

[Chazenesq2b at aol.com]

"The Iran Problem"
 
President Xia Hong
Democratic People's Republic of China
June 15, 2014
=================================================
 
(Executive Residence- Beijing)
 
In the secured situation room, Xia listened to her Generals make their  
preparations.  They've war-gamed various situations since the Iran Crisis  began.  
Iran's latest refusal and unsatisfactory counter-offer... made as a  'final 
offer' was an insult that wouldn't be tolerated by the Ministry of State  
Affairs, and certainly would not be well tolerated by the People's  Republic.  The 
world had warned them... now Iran would feel pain.
 
"The Highland Motarized Division, along with the 50th, 51st, and 52nd  
Mountain Infantry brigades have received orders to prepare for departure.   They 
returned as part of the recent scale-down of forces in North Korea, having  been 
replaced by NKA units.  They're combat hardened and high quality  soldiers, 
necessary for any invasion into Iran we may take over the Pakistani  border."  
The General in charge of this operation, a man by the name of  Qianwen Bao 
explained.  "The Pakistani Army is making it's Frontier Force,  a paramilitary 
group which patrols it's border regions between Afghanistan and  Iran, available 
to us for force protection purposes.  We've also begun  receiving orders from 
the Pakistani government for military equipment, and I  have been assured by 
the industries involved that they will give the orders  their highest priority."
 
Xia nodded.  At least the General 'seemed' to have all his ducks in a  row.  
"What forces will be supporting the assault?"
 
The Fleet and Air Marshalls both nodded to him, indicating their last  
agreement to be satisfactory to all sides.
 
"The PLN will deploy the Marine Corps and supporting personnel,  particularly 
engineers, EOD and demolitions technicians, communications  specialists, and 
medical personnel.  The PLAF will be sending the entirety  of the 16th 
Airborne Corps, comprising the 46th, 47th, and 48th Airborne  divisions.  While the 
Mountain brigades have crossed the border and  established a toe hold, the 
Airborne forces will drop on key  locations, working with our special forces to 
capture enemy air fields  and key strategic areas, particularly Iranian oil 
fields.  The  Marine Corps and the 1st and 124th Amphibious Mechanized Divisions 
will seize  key ports and capture or destroy the Iranian Naval and security 
forces in the  area of their major ports.  Air support will be provided by the 
1st, 2nd,  3rd, and 4th Fighter Divisions, 4th Independent Regiment, the 22nd 
Attack  Division, the 8th Bomber Division, and the newly formed 1st Operational 
Support  Division.  It will be a substantial devotion of assets... over 250 
aircraft  all tolled.  The 7th Fighter division will also be deployed to 
Pakistan to  begin familiarizing their pilots with the J-10, at their request."
 
Xia nodded.  It was fair after all.  "How large is their initial  aircraft 
requirement?"
 
"They're asking to buy 72."  General Bao responded.  "60 front  line and 12 
attrition aircraft.  They would also like to put an option on  an additional 28 
if and when funding becomes available."
 
Xia nodded.  It was a substantial request, but a stronger Pakistan was  in 
China's long-term interests.  
 
"Once initial objectives have been met, and access into the country is  
gained, the 1st and 2nd Armored Divisions as well as the 3rd and 4rth Armored  
brigades will be landed.  They will be supported by the 112th, 113th, and  114th 
Mechanized Divisions, and supporting reserve troops.  Total  deployment will be 
approximately 250,000 Troops.  We believe Iran's  capacity to defend itself, 
with so many of it's troops committed to defense  against a NATO assault 
outside of the country, will be severely compromised in  the face of a major 
attack.  We should be in a position to take Tehran in  10 days from the initial 
assault."
 
"It should be noted that casualty projections are as high as 20%."   Bing 
looked over to Xia.  She had to understand exactly what they were  doing here.  
"Our men are well trained and armed, and they have experience  in urban 
fighting as well as conventional warfare, but the Iranians have always  historically 
used human waves to thwart attacks.  We need to be prepared to  lose as many 
as 50,000 troops to take that country, and we may need to be  prepared to see 
as many as 600,000 Iranians killed... or more... before Tehran  falls."
 
"Post war scenario?"  She asked, the enormity of the situation not  escaping 
her at all.  
 
"We're going to need a post-war occupation force of at least half a  million. 
 Possibly for as long as two years.  It's going to be a  strain undoubtedly, 
but your Ministers and the military all agree that it is a  feasible option.  
Like North Korea, we will have to support the development  of a local 
government and local control until they can take over.  And you  know the West, 
especially Williams, will be crying bloody murder about  'Internationalizing' the 
Operation.  America is only concerned about  Iranian aggression in so far as it 
interferes with petrol prices."
 
She knew, and she didn't care.  Her pen drummed against the desk as  she 
considered the options available to her.  "How does this play  out?"
 
"After initial objectives are secured and reinforcements landed, our forces  
are divided into two.  One force heads for Tehran, the other to the border  to 
capture or destroy any and all Iranian military forces attempting to escape  
the NATO invasion.  This guarantees that Iran will not go on the offensive  
again."
 
But was that 'really' worth 50,000 Chinese lives?  The Americans and  
Europeans could bleed themselves stupid for oil.  She wasn't the one who  would have 
to explain to loved ones some stupid excuse about how oil wasn't the  reason 
they died.  "And 'if' we go ahead with the invasion, how do we know  the 
Europeans and the Americans won't fire on our soldiers?"
 
"We don't."  General Bao answered succinctly.  "But our IFF  transponders are 
unique, and we will be setting a specific frequency for this  operation which 
will be passed on to the Pentagon and the European Defense  ministries.  It's 
the best we can do."
 
She nodded.  "General... prepare for your invasion, but do not engage  
without my specific, confirmed authorization."
 
He nodded, and the meeting was adjourned.
=====================================================
 
ACTIONS
 
1.  Highlight China's preparations for war with Iran in support of  NATO 
operations in Azerbaijan.  
2.  Begin training and preparations for the upcoming 'possible'  battle.
3.  Make good on promises to Pakistan.  



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